大磁暴期间TIEGCM模式和CHAMP卫星热层大气密度扰动特性的统计研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

李嘉巍  吴媛  张效信  王文斌  周率 《地球物理学报》2015,58(3):709-720

本文统计分析了2001—2005年的39次大磁暴事件(Dst-100nT)期间TIEGCM模式和CHAMP卫星大气密度数据.研究结果表明,模式结果与实测数据具有较好的一致性,但仍存在一定的偏差.大气密度及增量与SYM-H指数相关性较好,并且随纬度、光照条件和地磁活动水平变化.模式低估了磁暴期间大气密度的增幅,特别是在地磁活动水平较强时模式与实测的偏差较大.模式的偏差在高纬地区高于低纬地区,日侧高于夜侧.Dst指数越低,偏差越大,而当Dst指数低于-150nT以后,绝对偏差和相对偏差变化不明显.  相似文献   

特高压电气设备抗震设计反应谱特征周期取值研究     

尤红兵  赵凤新  尤贺 《中国地震研究》2015,29(1):117-127

特征周期是抗震设计反应谱的重要参数,开展特高压电气设备抗震设计反应谱特征周期的研究,具有重要的理论意义和工程应用价值。对美国、日本等世界范围内的1448 条Ⅲ类场地水平向强震记录进行了统计分析,结果表明震级、震中距对特征周期有较大影响;强震记录特征周期的80%分位数结果约为0.9s。对全国近年来已通过评审的312 个Ⅲ类场地的地震安全性评价结果进行了统计分析,70%分位数的特征周期为0.9s。结合相关规范的对比分析,建议特高压电气设备抗震设计反应谱的特征周期取0.9s,可有效保证特高压电气设备的地震安全。  相似文献   

新疆北部晚古生代大规模岩浆作用与成矿耦合关系研究主要进展及成果   总被引：6，自引：6，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

张照伟  李文渊  张江伟  王亚磊 《中国地质调查》2015,2(6):20-25

新疆北部晚古生代地质构造演化复杂,岩浆作用形式多样,造就了大规模的成矿作用。本研究紧紧围绕岩浆铜镍矿床、斑岩型铜(钼)矿床及火山岩型磁铁矿矿床,从含矿岩体的岩浆起源、岩浆演化及成矿特点,系统研究深部相应岩浆活动的地质过程。通过典型矿床的深入剖析,建立相应矿床类型的成矿模式,破解制约找矿突破的控制因素,系统阐述了板块构造与地幔柱体制叠加并存的地质特征与成矿表现。鉴于塔里木地幔柱的活动特点和成矿表现,将其与新疆北部三类主要矿床类型建立关联,对比岩石学、年代学及地球化学特点,发现其成矿类型与塔里木地幔柱及板块构造存有密切关系,可能是两种构造体制叠加并存的结果。塔里木克拉通深部熔融的地幔物质,围绕刚性塔里木克拉通边缘不断上涌,并与表壳物质发生交换,随着俯冲板块的持续和减弱,深部上涌的地幔物质不断加强,先后形成因深部地幔物质多寡而金属聚集的不同矿床类型。  相似文献   

1990-2050年间贵州省东南部森林植被碳蓄积及固碳潜力分析     

杨帆  黄麟  邵全琴  包玉海 《地球信息科学学报》2015,17(3):309-316

本文以贵州省东南部三州为研究区,运用连续生物量转换因子法和平均生物量法,通过2010年森林清查小班数据,建立了24类优势树种的森林植被碳密度与林龄之间的关系。同时,估算了1990-2010年间贵州省东南部森林植被生物量及其碳蓄积量,分析了碳蓄积量的时空变化特征,并预测出2050年该区域森林植被的固碳潜力。结果显示：（1）2010年贵州省东南部森林植被碳蓄积量为106.22 TgC,占贵州省森林植被碳蓄积量的63.01%,占全国森林植被碳蓄积量的1.36%;平均碳密度32.44 MgC/hm²,是贵州省森林植被平均碳密度的93%,全国森林植被平均碳密度的76%,碳密度空间分布呈现由西部向东部增加趋势且东部高于平均水平。（2）1990-2000年间森林植被碳蓄积量增加了30.67 TgC;2000-2010年间森林植被碳蓄积量增加了49.55 TgC,其中,退耕还林导致森林植被碳蓄积量增加了31.09 TgC。（3）以2010年为基准年,假设40 a后贵州省东南部森林面积保持稳定,且不考虑轮伐期的未来情景下,至2050年该区域森林植被碳蓄积量将达到153.38 TgC,其增量可达47.16 TgC,表明贵州省东南部森林具有较大的碳增汇潜力。  相似文献   

Time series analysis of mantle cycles Part I: Periodicities and correlations among seven global isotopic databases     

Stephen J. Puetz  Kent C. Condie 《地学前缘(英文版)》2019,10(4):1305-1326

In this study, seven isotopic databases are presented and analyzed to identify mantle and crustal episodes on a global scale by focusing on periodicity ranging from 70 to 200 million years (Myr). The databases are the largest, or among the largest, compiled for each type of data – with an objective of finding some samples from every region of every continent, to make each database as global as conceivably possible. The databases contain zircon Lu/Hf isotopic data, whole-rock Sm/Nd isotopic data, U/Pb detrital zircon ages, U/Pb igneous zircon ages, U/Pb non-zircon ages, whole-rock Re/Os isotopic data, and large igneous province ages. Part I of this study focuses on the periodicities of age histograms and geochemical averages developed from the seven databases, via spectral and cross-correlation analyses. Natural physical cycles often propagate in exact integer multiples of a fundamental cycle, referred to as harmonics. The tests show that harmonic geological cycles of ～93.5 and ～187 Myr have persisted throughout terrestrial history, and the cyclicities are statistically significant for U/Pb igneous zircon ages, U/Pb detrital zircon ages, U/Pb zircon-rim ages, large igneous province ages, mean ε_Hf(t) for all samples, mean ε_Hf(t) values for igneous-only samples, and relative abundance of mafic rocks. Equally important, cross-correlation analyses show these seven time-series are nearly synchronous (±7 Myr) with a model consisting of periodicities of 93.5 and 187 Myr. Additionally, the similarities between peaks in the 93.5 and 187 Myr mantle cycles and terminal ages of established and suspected superchrons provide a framework for predicting and testing superchron periodicity.  相似文献   

1997-1999年黄河上游玛曲地区人工增雨生态效应的检验   总被引：5，自引：3，他引：2  

德力格尔  汪青春  周陆生  孙安平  徐维新  祁如英  刘蓓 《高原气象》2005,24(3):442-449

以牧草产量、归一化植被指数为生物指标,探讨了人工增雨生态效应检验的思路和方法,并以黄河上游玛曲地区1997—1999年人工增雨作业为例,进行了实际的计算。结果表明,玛曲地区人工增雨对提高牧草产量、增加植被覆盖度具有正效应,牧草产量平均增加两成多,植被覆盖度增加显著;初步估算,1998年玛曲地区人工增雨的草场经济效益投入产出比为1：9．7。  相似文献   

济阳坳陷内正断层与平移断层关系          下载免费PDF全文

赵利  李理 《地质论评》2017,63(1):50-60

以精细三维地震资料和构造解释成果为基础,通过将济阳坳陷内平移断层分成五个发育带,本文研究了各区带平移断层特征及其成因,并将正断层与平移断层的关系划分成了调节、派生、叠加三大类:调节关系包括平移断层斜断调节和变换调节正断层伸展,派生关系包括平移断层在两盘派生和在盖层中派生正断层,叠加关系包括断层先期平移一后期伸展和先期伸展一后期平移。晚中生代,济阳坳陷内断层形成于边界郯庐断裂的走滑作用,正断层与平移断层之间为派生关系;新生代,济阳坳陷受控于区域伸展应力场,平移断层形成于正断层的差异伸展,两种断层之间为调节关系;在上述两期构造演化中,若同一条断层经历了正断和平移两期变形,则称之为叠加关系。  相似文献   

Modelling the runoff-sediment yield relationship using a proportional function in hilly areas of the Loess Plateau, North China   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

Zheng Mingguo  Cai Qiangguo  Cheng Qinjuan   《Geomorphology》2008,93(3-4):288-301

Based on data observed at the 12 small watersheds in hilly areas of the Loess Plateau, North China, the relationship between event runoff volume and sediment yield is examined. The results reveal that the runoff-sediment yield relationship at the inter-event timescale is mainly determined by the runoff-sediment concentration relationship at the intra-event timescale. In the study area, the sediment concentration tends to be stable when the flow discharge exceeds a certain critical value. Many factors that are important for determining the characteristics of low-magnitude events, such as flow discharge, particle size of fluvial sediment, and accumulation of loose material on land surfaces prior to a rainstorm, appear to have little importance for high-magnitude events. Consequently, mean sediment concentration tends to be stable for large flood events, suggesting a strong similarity between the two flow-sediment relationships at inter-and intra-event temporal scales. Furthermore, a proportional function is proposed to predict event sediment yield, and the correspondence between the predicted and observed sediment yields is examined. The performance of the model is good for high-magnitude events, especially extreme events. The applicability of the proposed model at the annual timescale is also discussed.  相似文献   

Comparing models of debris-flow susceptibility in the alpine environment   总被引：12，自引：3，他引：9  

Alberto Carrara  Giovanni Crosta  Paolo Frattini   《Geomorphology》2008,94(3-4):353

Debris-flows are widespread in Val di Fassa (Trento Province, Eastern Italian Alps) where they constitute one of the most dangerous gravity-induced surface processes. From a large set of environmental characteristics and a detailed inventory of debris flows, we developed five models to predict location of debris-flow source areas. The models differ in approach (statistical vs. physically-based) and type of terrain unit of reference (slope unit vs. grid cell). In the statistical models, a mix of several environmental factors classified areas with different debris-flow susceptibility; however, the factors that exert a strong discriminant power reduce to conditions of high slope-gradient, pasture or no vegetation cover, availability of detrital material, and active erosional processes. Since slope and land use are also used in the physically-based approach, all model results are largely controlled by the same leading variables.Overlaying susceptibility maps produced by the different methods (statistical vs. physically-based) for the same terrain unit of reference (grid cell) reveals a large difference, nearly 25% spatial mismatch. The spatial discrepancy exceeds 30% for susceptibility maps generated by the same method (discriminant analysis) but different terrain units (slope unit vs. grid cell). The size of the terrain unit also led to different susceptibility maps (almost 20% spatial mismatch). Maps based on different statistical tools (discriminant analysis vs. logistic regression) differed least (less than 10%). Hence, method and terrain unit proved to be equally important in mapping susceptibility.Model performance was evaluated from the percentages of terrain units that each model correctly classifies, the number of debris-flow falling within the area classified as unstable by each model, and through the metric of ROC curves. Although all techniques implemented yielded results essentially comparable; the discriminant model based on the partition of the study area into small slope units may constitute the most suitable approach to regional debris-flow assessment in the Alpine environment.  相似文献   

洪湖湿地恢复中的生态水位控制与江湖联系研究   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

王学雷  宁龙梅  肖锐 《湿地科学》2008,6(2)

江湖阻隔造成洪湖湿地生态系统呈现出退化态势。维系洪湖湿地生态功能需要一定的水量与适宜的湖泊生态水位。根据洪湖湿地的综合生态功能对湖泊水位的不同要求,确定了洪湖合理的生态水位,以作为科学调度控制水位的重要依据,要建立有机的江湖联系机制,合理而科学地调节洪湖与长江的关系,有利于恢复洪湖湿地生境,保护流域内生物多样性。  相似文献